Tomorrow could see a seismic shift in the makeup of Europe. Great Britain has been relatively politically stable for some three hundred years.
The union was an early example of the rise of the stable nation-state as we understand them today. It’s potential fracture is more evidence that our global political model may be ending, and a new one emerging.
Where in the 1700s and 1800s, we saw the conglomeration of various smaller political units into singular countries, such as the amalgamation of states into Germany and Italy, now we see a trend toward the fracture of those states. The term Balkanization comes to mind, as well as separatist movements in places such as Catalonia.
If this is the new trend, it’s a topic for strategic thought. And I haven’t seen much thought given to it.