CDR Salamander: Black Swan Tuesday

The international order will continue to degrade as the major Western power (USA) continues to disengage thorough official disinterest and faculty room theorizing, and the medium Western powers reach the end phases of disarmament and self-doubt. The growing draw of this vacuum will encourage more and more of the unstable bits in the world will start to wobble and shake.

What is now everyone’s top shelf concern, the Islamic State, was just a few years ago something laughed off as a low probability and probably slightly paranoid “Black Swan.”

via CDR Salamander: Black Swan Tuesday.

‘Phib’s making his prediction for the next war. And I’m not about to bet against him.