What's next for Pakistan?

Dan Foster at NRO has a interesting piece on the post-Bin Laden world, and what it means for the US and for Pakistan.

Given the unusually high level of instability in an area already known to the Pentagon as “The Arc of Instability,” did the operation yesterday destabilize Pakistan? The impunity with which the Great Satan can operate inside Pakistan, combined with the shocking fact that OBL was basically hiding in plain sight in a multi-million dollar compound in the suburbs of Islamabad — and an army town — makes the regime look weak on two flanks. We’ve seen that just about every state in the broader region is a straw away from breaking. It’s not far-fetched to think this is the straw for Pakistan. In the very least, it confirms what everyone who’s been paying attention already knows: there are two Pakistans — two Pakistani militaries, two ISIs — at war with each other, and you can never really be sure which one you’re dealing with.

via Speculative Thoughts, Post-bin Laden – By Daniel Foster – The Corner – National Review Online.

8 thoughts on “What's next for Pakistan?”

  1. It is hard to imagine a weaker government than Pakistan’s. You are not in good shape when you can’t even control your own intelligence service. And when that intelligence service is activally in leauge with the enemy, you are doomed. It is time, perhaps, to allow pakistan to fail, and maybe the Pakistanis can rebuild something worthwhile from the wreckage.

  2. I think Pakistan should be brokendown in to four parts with each as an Independent Country. Let them compete with each other. They would live peacefully with their neighbors.

    1. I suspect there’s a tongue firmly planted in your cheek…

      I mean, Pakistan started as a slice off of India. And then Bangladesh was sliced off from Pakistan.

      I just don’t think there’s ever going to be what we would call a stable government in Pakistan.

  3. My opinion is that the English, French, and any other former great colonial powers that imposed all of the arbitrary boundaries, policies, and politics that created this mess should somehow get tagged by the international community to fix it, instead of themselves running away from responsibility and castigating those nations who do try and deal with the fallout. Or else, they can throw open the gates and admit the influx of immigrants that wish to move there to escape the products of their failings.

    1. Don’t you think that at some point, those former colonial nations will have to accept some responsibility for their own well being?

  4. The borders of India and Pakistan were, for the most part, agreed to by Jinna and Mountbatten who was backed, for the most part, by Nehru. They didn’t agree on Kashmir which is still a running sore. The Paks are still smarting from the loss of Bangladesh, which they had no chance of holding permanently as it was separated by India from Pakistan. They also picked the fight that lost them the territory.

    A funny story relating to the 1971 war. Chuck Yeager was Air Attache to the Paks and was pretty bellicose in favor of the Paks, predicting they would be in New Delhi in two weeks and spent a great deal of time at an airbase near Islamabad where he had a Beechcraft single engine AC parked. Right after the war started the Indians hit that base and one of the first AC destroyed was Yeager’s Beechcraft.

  5. The US can’t be everywhere at once. We certtainly should not try to play by the rules or pretend that we have allies in the region. The plan is to buy strategic access so we can plant the western seed. The most powerful bomb we can deploy is probably free and open wireless internet. Offer the peoples of these nations an opportunity to unite, share , learn and rise up like never betore.

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